Why now
Presales alone put it in the May 2026 top 10 before street date. The triptych is a completionist trap in the best way.
Mega Evolution · ME04 · Released May 22, 2026

Craze score · August 14, 2026
Mega Greninja ex plus a connecting Froakie–Frogadier–Greninja triptych. Smaller set, better individual hit rates, Greninja is a top-five Pokémon globally.
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Why now
Presales alone put it in the May 2026 top 10 before street date. The triptych is a completionist trap in the best way.
The play
Buy the Greninja SIR or the full triptych. Opening boxes for fun is closer to break-even than most 2026 sets.
The risk
Main-set syndrome: once Pitch Black and 30th Celebration ate the summer, casual money left. Sealed is closer to fair than Prismatic.

Raw $550 · PSA 10 $950 · 1.7× slab · editorial snapshot
Greninja does not go out of style. This is the card the set exists for.
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Raw $45 · PSA 10 $110 · 2.4× slab · editorial snapshot
Cheap now, annoying later. Completionists will overpay for matching centering.
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Raw $70 · PSA 10 $140 · 2.0× slab · editorial snapshot
The other Mega SIR people actually pull. Art-driven, not Greninja-driven.
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1–3 of 5

$50$58 · +$8 over MSRP
Still close to retail. Fine place to park Greninja exposure.
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$162$175 · +$13 over MSRP
Closer to fair EV than most 2026 boxes.
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Starter EV snapshot
Using estimated pull rates and a $5.50 street pack, this set is a starting point — not a promise. Edit it on the EV calculator.